PolimetricPolimetric
Brazil 2026 General Election

Brazil 2026 General Election

Conditional prediction markets on economic metrics · 2026-10-04

Who will win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

And how will these metrics look like as a result?

PT (Left)PT (Left)MetricOpposition (Right)Opposition (Right)
GDP
Millions BRL
GDP per capita
USD
IPCA YoY
%
Debt-to-GDP ratio
%
Homicide rate
Per 100k
BRL/USD
BRL per USD

GDP

What will Brazil's nominal GDP be in Q3 2027 according to IBGE quarterly national accounts via FRED?

Election2026-10-04Metric2027-07-01
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Trade on Seer

Trade your prediction for GDP on Seer prediction markets

How to trade conditional markets

  1. Mint outcome tokens — Go to the election market and split your sDAI into conditional tokens (PT (Left) / Opposition (Right)).
  2. Trade on the metric market — Use your conditional tokens to buy High or Low on the metric you want. For example, if you think GDP will be high under PT (Left), go to GDP if PT (Left) and buy High.
  3. Resolution — After the measurement date, the market resolves based on the actual value. Your payout is proportional to how close the outcome is to your position within the scalar range (25000004000000 Millions BRL).

All markets use sDAI as collateral on Gnosis Chain.