PolimetricPolimetric
US 2026 Midterms

US 2026 Midterms

Conditional prediction markets on economic metrics · 2026-11-03

Which party will control the US House of Representatives after the 2026 midterm elections?

And how will these metrics look like as a result?

RepublicanRepublicanMetricDemocratDemocrat
GDP
Billions USD
GDP per capita
USD
CPI YoY
%
Debt-to-GDP ratio
%
Homicide rate
Per 100k
National debt
Billions USD
S&P 500
USD
Unemployment rate
%

GDP

What will US GDP be in Q3 2027 according to BEA advance estimate?

Election2026-11-03Metric2027-07-01
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Trade on Seer

Trade your prediction for GDP on Seer prediction markets

How to trade conditional markets

  1. Mint outcome tokens — Go to the election market and split your sDAI into conditional tokens (Republican / Democrat).
  2. Trade on the metric market — Use your conditional tokens to buy High or Low on the metric you want. For example, if you think GDP will be high under Republican, go to GDP if Republican and buy High.
  3. Resolution — After the measurement date, the market resolves based on the actual value. Your payout is proportional to how close the outcome is to your position within the scalar range (2900035000 Billions USD).

All markets use sDAI as collateral on Gnosis Chain.